Weather forecasters near and far lean

I’ve reviewed the winter expectations from forecasters from the media, private companies and the National Weather Service. There is no strong consensus among these predictions, but there is a gentle lean toward above-average snow amounts and near-normal temperatures. Last year, there was fairly uniform agreement among forecasters that Washington would have a somewhat snowier-than-average winter, which turned out to be right — although many forecasters overestimated snowfall to some extent.

Below, find a summary of winter outlooks from the private sector, the media — including the Capital Weather Gang — and the National Weather Service. The snow predictions shown are for Reagan National Airport, where the annual average snowfall is 15.4 inches, and the immediate Washington area.

Meteorological winter, defined as December through February, began Sunday, and the Northeast is already digging out from its first big winter storm. The snow missed Washington, but, soon enough, the flakes will be flying here in the DMV. We’ve never experienced a winter without at least a tiny bit of measurable snow.

It’s too soon to tell whether this will be a winter to remember or an enormous loser in the snow department, but there are plenty of opinions out there about what the season has in store for our region.

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